AC Milan is making a short trip to Brescia this weekend for Italy’s friendly derby. These two clubs are just 50 miles apart. Rossoneri have already welcomed back Brescia to San Siro, where Milan claimed a 1-0 home win earlier this season.

Brescia have scored almost a quarter of their total league goals this term in their last two games. On the other hand, Brescia have lost 9 of their last 14 Serie A games. Milan have won their last seven meetings with Brescia, and 87% of their League victories were achieved with a single goal.

Brescia are facing some troubles at home. The hosts lost nine of their previous 14 matches in Serie A. Accordingly they were left in the bottom three. Brescia’ve let in over two goals per game here.

 

Zlatan is Back!

 

Incredibly, Zlatan Ibrahimovic has landed a contract at Milan at the grand age of 38. Also, the Swede has inspired a turnaround in Milan. The Rossoneri had been mired in midtable, with their European ambitions non-existant after a terrible start to the campaign.

Milan are among four unbeaten now and since Ibrahimovic returned to Italy. The Rossoneri had scored just 16 times in their first 18 league games this term; After Zlatan’s return they’ve scored eight goals in their latest three games.

 

Match Preview

 

Brescia have avoided defeat in four of their last seven Serie A matches. Until now, they have two wins, three losses, and two draws. Yet, despite scoring in four consecutive SA matches, ’Le Rondinelle’ remain one of only three teams however to score 20 league goals, and Brescia’s league-low average of 3.9 corners per-SA home game is a contributing factor.

The hosts also sit among three SA teams that have conceded at least 1.9 goals on average per game. With 21 of those 38 goals coming in home matches, it is hardly surprising to see that Brescia’s tally of five points earned here is a joint-low in the home league table.

Boasting a league win-rate of 83.33 % as an away favorite so far this season, AC Milan have gone four competitive games without a loss (W3, D1) since a humiliating 5-0 defeat at Atalanta (Dec 22). Three of those four matches saw them keep a clean sheet.

With expectations of a Milan win ‘to-nil’ thus higher than usual, it is interesting to note that each of their SA away wins to yield a clean sheet this term have come after a goalless first half. Milan also remain the only team yet to draw a single league game on the road (W5, L5).

 

Stats and Players to watch

 

Brescia:  last home match saw Ernesto Torregrossa score a brace and pick up a yellow card.

Milan: Ante Rebič scored his first two strikes in SA last time out, including an injury-time winner.

Brescia have failed to win a single league match entered as a home outsider this season (two draws, six losses). The hosts have conceded nearly half (ten) of their 21 goals against here beyond the 60th minute.