Buaksib Asia presents the review of match week 30 of English Premier League season 2019/2020 ‘Project Restart’ and the preview of match week 31.
Highlighting upcoming games of Manchester United VS Sheffield United, Southampton VS Arsenal & Chelsea VS Manchester City.
Manchester United Vs. Sheffield United
Unbeaten in six Premier League matches, Manchester United now sit five points behind the coveted fourth-place spot. Recent games have been tight. With just one of the ‘Red Devils’ last eight Premier League matches featuring over 2.5 goals, and two of their previous 11 witnessings both teams score. Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men have conceded only 0.8 goals per Premier League home match. And have kept a clean sheet in six of their last seven competitive fixtures here. In Premier League home fixtures, an early lead is key – 87.5% of their home victories have arrived after a half-time point.
1.0 Goals per Game
Sheffield United were trounced 3-0 at the weekend, and with that. They’ve scored just a single goal from their last three league matches. In fact, their average of 1.0 goals scored per game is the division’s sixth-lowest ahead of this round. Six of the ‘Blades’ eight Premier League away draws featured goals, and across those six, they conceded the first goal in five. Notably, their equalizer arrived after the 80th minute in three of those six. Indeed, the bias for late goals is clear – 76.92% of Sheffield’s 13 scored PL away goals this season arrived during the second half.
Players to watch: January signing Bruno Fernandes has scored three goals in his last four Premier League matches – two from the penalty spot. Meanwhile, veteran striker Billy Sharp has three goals across his last six competitive games.
Stat attack: Manchester United have won 53.85% of their Premier League home matches entered as favourites this season.
Visitors to Old Trafford have accrued as many or more yellow cards than Manchester United in eight straight Premier League fixtures.
Just seven of Sheffield United’s 30 Premier League matches (23.33%) featured over 2.5 goals.
Sheffield United have scored over 1.5 goals in just one of their previous 13 Premier League games.
Southampton Vs. Arsenal
Southampton have lost five of their last seven competitive games, but their 3-0 win over Norwich at the weekend was their most significant Premier League victory of the campaign. That means five of their previous six Premier League triumphs came with a clean sheet, and six of their most recent nine Premier League encounters saw over 2.5 goals. Ralph Hasenhüttl’s side must improve their home record, though, which is the league’s worst. Their home Premier League fixtures here have averaged 3.13 goals per game, partly due to 66.67% seeing both teams score. Furthermore, Southampton’s last three Premier League home wins saw them lead after 25 minutes, and they have a strong Premier League record here when scoring first.
Back-to back defeats for the first time
Arsenal have suffered back-to-back Premier League defeats for the first time since April 2019 after previously going eight league clashes unbeaten. Their previous five Premier League defeats were by either a 2-1 or 3-0 scoreline. Whilst being beaten by Brighton was the second time this season they’ve lost a Premier League match after scoring first. The ‘Gunners’ are now winless in seven Premier League away fixtures and have won only once in 14. Three of the past four featured over 2.5 goals, and six of the latest nine saw both teams score.
Players to watch: In-form Southampton striker Danny Ings has eight Premier League home goals this season, including three after the 70th minute. Meanwhile, Arsenal captain Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored the final goal in five Premier League away games this season.
Stat attack: Southampton have a 50-50 success rate across their Premier League penalties this season, with the miss coming versus Arsenal.
The last three Premier League away goals that Arsenal scored arrived after the 60th minute.
Arsenal have had a man sent-off in three of their previous five Premier League away games.
Arsenal have won only one of the last eight Premier League H2Hs held here.
Chelsea Vs. Manchester City
Chelsea came from behind to win in the last Premier League round, cementing them within the Champions League spots. Frank Lampard’s men have drawn just one of their last 14 competitive home matches. Furthermore, across Chelsea’s previous ten competitive home matches, both teams have scored only twice. There are still signs of goals to come, however, as Chelsea have witnessed over 2.5 goals in four of their last five Premier League home matches. Overall, their total average output of 3.1 goals per game is bettered by just City ahead of this match.
3.26 goals AVG
Meanwhile, Manchester City has not drawn in 14 competitive matches away from home. Across those 14 matches, 3.29 total goals were scored on average, with City alone scoring 3+ goals on six occasions. Just one of their previous 15 away matches has seen the points shared so far in the Premier League alone. Despite being the league’s biggest scorers away from home. None of their last four Premier League away matches have featured over 2.5 goals. Some characteristics from those four Premier League away games are intriguing, though. The vast majority of goals arrived in the second half (83.33%), while City were awarded three penalties and missed them all. Furthermore, 20 yellow cards (5.0 on the average per match) were dealt.
Players to watch: Veteran striker Olivier Giroud has three goals in his last four Premier League fixtures – two of those were the last goal of their respective matches. Meanwhile, Sergio Agüero has five goals across the last five competitive H2Hs.
Stat attack: Chelsea have scored in both halves in three of their last four Premier League matches.
City have won 60% of Premier League away matches entered as favourites this season – and lost 33.33% of them.
Just one of the last seven competitive H2Hs has featured both teams scoring.