THE GOAL POST | English Premier League Project Restart Preview & Prediction
Buaksib Asia presents the preview of match week 30 of English Premier League season 2019/2020 ‘Project Restart’. Highlighting upcoming games of Manchester City vs Arsenal, and Aston Villa vs Sheffield United.
Manchester City Vs. Arsenal
The Premier League restart sees a blockbuster as Manchester City take on Arsenal, and recent history shows this to be a pleasant fixture for this game’s hosts. City have won six straight competitive H2Hs against the ‘Gunners’, covering a -1.5 handicap each time, and scoring precisely three goals in five of those six. Man City have also won four of their last five Premier League home matches, and have netted an average of 2.54 goals per Premier League home game this season. Yet whilst their last five league matches (all venues) before the hiatus averaged just 1.6 total goals – and none saw both teams score – a league-high 50% of City’s Premier League fixtures have actually featured at least four goals.
Arsenal trail a Champions League spot by eight points, but travel unbeaten in eight Premier League matches. However decisive results have eluded them at times, with draw kings Arsenal witnessing a league-high 46.43% of their Premier League matches end in stalemate. Although notably, just three of their 13 draws have been level at half-time. In fact, they’ve drawn five straight away league games, and have not won an away Premier League H2H since 2015. First halves haven’t been kind to them either, with Arsenal behind at half-time in 53.85% of their Premier League away matches this term.
Players to watch: City’s Sergio Agüero has scored five goals across the last four H2Hs at the Etihad. Meanwhile, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (ARS) has three goals in his last three PL matches.
Stat attack: Eight of the last nine Premier League H2Hs have featured over 2.5 goals – the last six held in Manchester have witnessed a whopping 4.33 total goals on average.
In City’s last four Premier League home matches, 81.82% of the goals have been scored during the second half.
Arsenal have averaged just 1.25 yellow cards across the last four H2Hs.
Aston Villa Vs. Sheffield United
Struggling Aston Villa are looking to end a four-game losing Premier League run. With all four games witnessing Dean Smith’s side trail at half-time. They conceded four goals from the 31st minute to half-time across those four fixtures, and have also conceded before half-time in the previous three competitive H2Hs at Villa Park. In this Premier League return, the ‘Villans’ would have preferred not to have been facing a side from the division’s top ten given their poor league record vs such teams. They conceded 2+ goals in all but one of those matches, and have also conceded after the 70th minute in their five home games vs sides currently placed inside the top ten.
Sheffield United are unbeaten in four Premier League matches, and have had a strong season overall. Despite this, they have failed to score over 2.5 goals in any of their previous 15 Premier League matches, and their average of 1.07 goals scored per game is one of the division’s lowest.
The ‘Blades’ counter this unremarkable attack with an exquisite defence. And only league leaders Liverpool can better their average of 0.89 goals conceded per game. As such, 78.57% of their league fixtures have featured under 2.5 goals.
Players to watch: Jack Grealish is Villa’s top Premier League scorer with seven this season. And he has bagged two goals across his previous five Premier League away matches. Billy Sharp has netted two goals in his previous three Premier League games for Sheffield United. But also watch out for John Fleck who bagged a brace vs Villa in the last H2H.
Stat attack: Just two of Villa’s 13 Premier League home matches were 0-0 at half-time.
Villa have scored 2+ goals in four of their previous six competitive home H2Hs.
Sheffield United have won just one of their previous eight competitive visits to Villa Park.
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