Buaksib Asia presents the 2019/2020 Europa League and Champions League Preview.
Highlighting the upcoming Europa League & Champions League matches featuring big matches between Barcelona VS Bayern Munich & Manchester City Vs Lyon.
UEFA Europa League
Shakhtar Donetsk Vs. Basel
Shakhtar Donetsk maintained their unbeaten post-lockdown run in competitive games with a 3-0 victory in their last UEFA Europa League fixture. The Ukrainians were bagging 2+ goals in all but two games during that run. Each of Donetsk’s ten UEFA-sanctioned matches this term have now witnessed over 2.5 goals, while seven saw both teams score. Often feisty affairs, there have been five red cards shown across Donetsk’s last seven European outings, three of which were shown to the hosts. Despite that, each of the three European games in which Shakhtar saw red this season still witnessed their opposition on the day receive more yellow cards.
Though Basel have drawn four of their last six competitive games, a 1-0 victory over Frankfurt saw them progress into this quarter-final. Despite that result, nine of Basel’s 14 European matches this season have witnessed over 2.5 goals, though none of the last six saw both teams score. Basel are winless in three competitive H2Hs and were behind at HT in the only two such games this century. However, they’ve recently thrived as betting outsiders, winning three of the last four such away games in Europe, keeping a clean sheet in each victory, while none saw both teams score.
Players to watch: Júnior Moraes has scored five of Shakhtar’s 18 European goals this season, including the opener in their last two European games.
Fabian Frei has scored in five European matches for Basel this term, three of which ended in a 1-0 victory for the Swiss outfit.
Stat attack: Shakhtar have avoided defeat in three of the last four European games in which they conceded the opener.
Shakhtar are unbeaten in eight of 11 prior H2Hs vs. Swiss opposition.
Basel are currently defending a 281-minute run without conceding.
Wolves Vs. Sevilla
Wolverhampton Wanderers’ last six competitive victories have been ‘to nil’ after they beat Olympiacos 1-0 to progress to a first European quarter-final since 1972. They have now conceded just one first-half goal across their last five UEFA Europa League outings, and have a perfect record when scoring first in Europe this term. Despite scoring an impressive average of 2.44 goals per UEFA Europa League game this term, goals have not come as readily recently: 11 of their last 12 competitive games featured under 2.5 goals. Meanwhile, Wolves’ last five competitive matches witnessed the same HT/FT outcome.
Five-time competition winners (UEL/UEFA Cup) Sevilla are on an 18-match unbeaten run after beating Roma 2-0 to reach this stage. That was their fifth game from their previous seven that they won ‘to nil,’ despite not scoring before the 20th minute in any of those fixtures. Furthermore, six of their nine UEFA Europa League matches this term were goalless at HT, and only two of their games saw both teams score. Keeping it tight and striking late has been profitable for the Spanish side in Europe this season: they are yet to concede before 55’, and six of their ten second-half goals this campaign came on or after 75’.
Players to watch: Raúl Jiménez, who bagged the winner for Wolves against Olympiacos, has netted 19 of his 27 competitive goals this term in the second half. Meanwhile, Youssef En-Nesyri scored the game’s final goal in two of Sevilla’s last three UEFA Europa League matches.
Stat attack: The last four competitive goals that Wolves have conceded arrived in either first-half or second-half injury-time.
An opposition player was sent off in both of Sevilla’s last two UEFA Europa League games.
Sevilla have received an average of 2.33 yellow cards per UEFA Europa League knockout game (Wolves: 2.50).
Sevilla are unbeaten against English clubs in UEFA Europa League H2Hs.
UEFA Champions League
Atalanta Vs. PSG
Atalanta comes into this clash after four straight UEFA Champions League victories, three of which yielded a multi-goal margin. Across that trio of emphatic wins, they averaged exactly 2.0 second-half goals, while consistently winning the second half by an odd-numbered margin. With Serie A continuing behind closed doors and the Ligue 1 season-ending prematurely, Atalanta’s superior conditioning in competitive football may give them an edge. That may be reflected in a strong start, and they have a habit for such, leading at half-time in three of their last four UEFA Champions League victories.
PSG have won six of their last eight UEFA Champions League outings, with four (66.67%) of those victories yielding a multi-goal margin. Even though PSG’s average winning margin across the six victories was 2.83, it is interesting that five of the wins saw at least one-half produce under 1.5 goals. A significant majority (eight) of the last 13 goals scored (either way) in PSG’s UEFA Champions League games have arrived beyond the hour mark. In turn, three of PSG’s last four UEFA Champions League games have seen that period alone produces over 1.5 total goals.
Players to watch: Alejandro Gómez netted an 84th-minute winner in Atalanta’s last victory. However, 50% of his previous six competitive goals have been first-half winners.
PSG’s Neymar opened the scoring in his last UEFA Champions League fixture, for a fourth decisive first-half goal from his previous seven UEFA Champions League strikes.
Stat attack: Three of Atalanta’s last four competitive wins have seen them win the second half to-nil.
Atalanta are unbeaten in UEFA competition meetings with French opposition. The games averaged 1.50 goals overall.
Four of PSG’s last five UEFA Champions League games drawn/lost have produced exactly three goals between 1’-30’ or 61’-FT.
RB Leipzig Vs. Atletico de Madrid
A 4-0 aggregate win over Tottenham has seen RB Leipzig progress into this UEFA Champions League quarter-final and extended their unbeaten run to six games. Notably, though only one of those matches was goalless at HT, Leipzig netted in both halves in just two of those six fixtures. The German outfit have also lost just one of their last 16 competitive matches, while only 25% of their games during that period saw a goalless first half. The primary goal will likely be necessary, though, as eight of the nine games during that time that ended with a winner saw the team that scored first emerge victorious.
Similarly, Atlético Madrid’s last seven LaLiga wins all saw them net the opener and their previous eight UEFA Champions League victories (regulation time only). In contrast, the Spanish side have lost five of the last six UEFA Champions League matches in which they conceded first. They’ve done well after HT in recent games though, as evidenced by the fact three of their previous four LaLiga wins saw a goalless first half. Atlético usually confines their best play to one or another, which is why they’ve scored in both halves in just one of their last 12 UEFA Champions League fixtures.
Players to watch: Emil Forsberg has netted four goals across Leipzig’s last four UEFA Champions League games – three after the 85th minute. Meanwhile, Álvaro Morata’s final three UEFA Champions League goals for Atlético have all been scored after the 75th minute (includes one extra-time strike).
Stat attack: Four of Leipzig’s last eight UEFA Champions League goals came from the penalty spot.
Atlético’s last seven UEFA Champions League wins (90 minutes only) have come via a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline.
Four of the last six competitive goals Leipzig have conceded arrived after the 85th minute.
Barcelona Vs. Bayern Munich
Barcelona progressed into this quarter-final after beating Napoli 3-1 last time out (4-2 on aggregate). That result saw the opener netted before the 25th minute for their fourth competitive game in a row (three times by Barcelona), and also means the Spaniards have scored three goals before HT in each of their previous two fixtures. Although outsiders here, Barcelona have lost just one of their last 13 matches, and are unbeaten in eight UEFA Champions League fixtures. Furthermore, that Napoli result also continued a trend that has seen both teams score in six of Barcelona’s last seven UEFA Champions League games. The opener netted by the 30th minute in those same six matches.
A 4-1 thrashing of Chelsea gave Bayern Munich an 18th consecutive competitive victory, the last four of which saw Bayern score the opener by the 20th minute, lead at HT, and win despite a -1 handicap. Notably, ten of those 18 games saw over 3.5 match goals, while 13 featured over 2.5. Bayern are also enjoying an eight-game winning run in this competition, five of which they led at HT. While they kept a clean sheet in four of those games, the other four saw them concede in the first half. However, the Munich outfit did score 70.97% of their goals across those eight games after the break.
Players to watch: Luis Suárez has scored between the 40th minute and HT in Barcelona’s previous two matches. Meanwhile, Robert Lewandowski has scored 13 goals for Bayern in his seven UEFA Champions League matches this season (eight after the 60th minute). He hunts down Cristiano Ronaldo’s record of 17 UEFA Champions League goals in one season (2013-14).
Stat attack: Barcelona are winless in the last three competitive matches in which they conceded first.
There’s been a penalty in Bayern’s last three competitive games.
The team that’s scored the opener has won the last four UEFA Champions League H2Hs.
Manchester City Vs. Lyon
After a 4-2 aggregate win over Real Madrid in the previous round, Manchester City are heavy favorites. They enter this clash unbeaten in nine UEFA Champions League matches, with both teams scoring in the last six of those clashes. In addition to the above, four of City’s last five UEFA Champions League victories have produced a level HT scoreline. It is also worth noting that three of City’s recent four UEFA Champions League wins have produced exactly three second-half goals, with City’s second goal of the night coming from the penalty spot in two of that particular trio.
A win for Lyon seems like a distant prospect, and they will do well to avoid defending a spot-kick against City of all teams. Notably, the opposition accounts for three of four total first-half penalties scored across their last two UEFA Champions League fixtures drawn/lost. Lyon have lost each of their previous three UEFA Champions League games played away from French soil, being outscored 3:1 across those defeats. Though only two of those eight goals came before the 40th minute, Lyon conceded precisely once in each half across that run of losses.
Players to watch: Raheem Sterling opened the scoring for City in their UEFA Champions League second-leg win over Real. In turn, he has scored the opening goal in three of his previous four goalscoring UEFA Champions League games.
Lyon’s Memphis Depay scored the crucial goal in the win over Juventus. Consequently, six (75%) of his eight prior UEFA Champions League goals have come during matches producing over 2.5 goals and seeing both teams score.
Stat attack: City’s UEFA record against French opposition is perfectly even.
Three (75%) of City’s last four UEFA Champions League wins have seen them concede first.
Lyon are unbeaten against City in the UEFA Champions League, conceding no goals before the hour mark therein.