On the other hand, Thomas Tuchel rested several first-team regulars in the French Cup win over Lorient, but he is likely to rely on the key players for the Lille game. Given the attacking potential of the away side, punters can find value in backing both teams to score. It should also be mentioned that Lille crushed PSG 5-1 in their last meeting at Allianz Stadium.
Match Predictions
Lille are slumping at the wrong time, with an average losing margin of 2.5 goals across their last two Ligue 1 (L1) games. Their four successive single-goal league wins prior offer some residual hope, with Lille leading at half-time during three of those wins.
Impressively, Lille are unbeaten in 14 home league matches (W12, D2). The last eight of those wins saw Lille win the first half 1-0, while ‘Le LOSC’ averaged 0.75 penalty goals-per-game across the last four wins in that sequence.
Averaging 2.30 goals per-away game this L1 campaign, PSG impressively remain the only L1 side still to concede a goal within the opening half-hour of any away league game this campaign. They have won their last four L1 away fixtures before this clash, of which three saw them lead ‘to-nil’ at half-time.
Last season’s L1 trip to Lille (L 1-5, April 2019) was a blip for PSG, who had all but sealed the league title by then. The champions-elect have won five of their last seven top-flight trips to Lille (W5, D1, L1). Of those five trips, four saw the Parisians win one half by a 1-0 scoreline.
Stats and Players to watch
Lille: Six of Lille’s last eight home league wins to yield a 1-0 half-time scoreline have seen Victor Osimhen net first.
Paris Saint-Germain: PSG superstar Kylian Mbappé scored the first and last goals in the Parisians’ most recent away league win.
Lille currently sit on a 75% loss rate in league games entered as outsiders this term while PSG have a win-rate of 80% this season as an L1 away favorite